The project “Complex Vulnerability Research within an Urban Setting on the Pacific Rim: Proto-Modeling Climate Impact and Social Risk”, funding by Office of Naval Research (N00014-22-1-2613), focuses on the analysis of the social complexity of territories to anticipate future scenarios resulting from global stressors such as climate change, migration, security problems, among others.

The project represents a cutting-edge advancement in strategic decision support for governmental, military, and humanitarian applications. The resulting framework of this project: CASA (Complex Analysis for Social Adaptation), an applied complexity web-tool, was designed to provide real-time, AI-augmented intelligence that enhances the ability of decision makers to navigate the complexities of modern security threats.

Unlike traditional intelligence systems that rely on static assessments, CASA operates as a dynamic, learning-based platform, integrating multi-source data, predictive modeling, and geospatial analytics to provide continuously updated strategic insights. Its primary focus is to identify, model, and predict cascading risks across interconnected socio-economic and security systems, both to enhance the strategic management of a given territory and to analyze potential crisis scenarios.